Closet Picks

Between the visits

Who overlaps with whom

Everything here compares one visit with another: the choices that travel in pairs, the guests with the same shelf in mind, and the ones the rest of the series followed.

Picked together

Lift is how often two things are taken together against how often two things that popular would coincide by chance. A lift near 1 just means two popular choices met.

Two directors in one closet

A pair of films is too thin to say anything about: the highest co-occurrence anywhere in this data is 5 visits, and a lift on four visits is a coin toss with a decimal point. Directors are the same question at a unit with support, and the pairs below have had the films the two made together removed from both sides of the count: 18 pairs disappeared entirely when that was done, which is what a co-credit looks like when it is mistaken for a taste.

Directors taken together more often than chance
Pair Visits taking both Each reached by Lift 95% interval
Ken Loach and Mike Leigh 5 7 · 28 10.6 4.5 to 24.4
Alfred Hitchcock and Preston Sturges 4 20 · 10 8.3 3.2 to 21.1
Joel Coen and Stephen Frears 4 20 · 12 6.9 2.7 to 17.6
François Truffaut and Preston Sturges 4 25 · 10 6.6 2.6 to 16.9
Roman Polanski and Terrence Malick 4 17 · 17 5.7 2.2 to 14.6
John Waters and Rainer Werner Fassbinder 4 16 · 19 5.5 2.1 to 13.9
Charles Chaplin and Ernst Lubitsch 4 21 · 15 5.3 2.0 to 13.4
Joel Coen and Sidney Lumet 4 20 · 16 5.2 2.0 to 13.2
Carl Franklin and Spike Lee 4 10 · 33 5.0 1.9 to 12.8
Paul Thomas Anderson and Stanley Kubrick 5 14 · 30 4.9 2.1 to 11.4

Single-film picks only, so a box set cannot make its own directors look like a pair. Every interval here is wide, because the counts behind them are single digits: read the ordering, not the ratios.

Table view
Pair Together A B Lift
Ken Loach and Mike Leigh 5 7 28 10.56
Alfred Hitchcock and Preston Sturges 4 20 10 8.28
Joel Coen and Stephen Frears 4 20 12 6.90
François Truffaut and Preston Sturges 4 25 10 6.62
Roman Polanski and Terrence Malick 4 17 17 5.73
John Waters and Rainer Werner Fassbinder 4 16 19 5.45
Charles Chaplin and Ernst Lubitsch 4 21 15 5.26
Joel Coen and Sidney Lumet 4 20 16 5.17
Carl Franklin and Spike Lee 4 10 33 5.02
Paul Thomas Anderson and Stanley Kubrick 5 14 30 4.93
François Truffaut and Roman Polanski 5 25 17 4.87
Robert Altman and Roman Polanski 5 25 17 4.87
John Waters and Wim Wenders 4 16 22 4.70
Billy Wilder and Elia Kazan 4 17 21 4.64
Alan J. Pakula and Hal Ashby 4 15 24 4.60
Alex Cox and Gus Van Sant 4 18 20 4.60
Hal Ashby and John Waters 4 24 16 4.31
Roman Polanski and Yasujiro Ozu 4 17 23 4.24
Charlotte Zwerin and Spike Lee 4 12 33 4.18
Alejandro G. Iñárritu and Martin Scorsese 4 10 42 3.94
Guillermo del Toro and Martin Scorsese 4 10 42 3.94
Jean-Pierre Melville and Michelangelo Antonioni 4 15 28 3.94
Federico Fellini and Luchino Visconti 5 44 12 3.92
Orson Welles and Robert Bresson 4 17 25 3.90
David Lynch and Steven Soderbergh 5 41 13 3.88
Alfred Hitchcock and Michael Powell 6 20 33 3.76
John Cassavetes and John Schlesinger 4 28 16 3.70
François Truffaut and Yasujiro Ozu 5 25 23 3.60
Luis Buñuel and Spike Lee 4 14 33 3.58
Martin Scorsese and Peter Bogdanovich 4 42 11 3.58
Emeric Pressburger and Ernst Lubitsch 4 31 15 3.56
Robert Bresson and Vittorio De Sica 4 25 19 3.49
Hal Ashby and Wes Anderson 4 24 20 3.45
Ernst Lubitsch and Michael Powell 4 15 33 3.35
Alfred Hitchcock and Emeric Pressburger 5 20 31 3.34
Elia Kazan and Stanley Kubrick 5 21 30 3.29
Martin Scorsese and Richard Linklater 5 42 15 3.29
Alex Cox and Andrei Tarkovsky 4 18 28 3.29
Orson Welles and Stanley Kubrick 4 17 30 3.25
Roman Polanski and Stanley Kubrick 4 17 30 3.25

The other end is harder to read and more interesting. Among pairs where both directors are reached by at least 20 visits, these are the ones that almost never share a closet. Every interval below spans 1.0, so this is a list of candidates rather than a finding: with these counts the data cannot tell a real avoidance from chance.

Pair Together Each reached by Lift 95% interval
David Lynch and Federico Fellini 4 41 · 44 0.92 0.36 to 2.33
Akira Kurosawa and Martin Scorsese 4 41 · 42 0.96 0.37 to 2.45
Federico Fellini and Michael Powell 4 44 · 33 1.14 0.44 to 2.90
Akira Kurosawa and Federico Fellini 5 41 · 44 1.15 0.49 to 2.66
Emeric Pressburger and Federico Fellini 4 31 · 44 1.21 0.47 to 3.09
Akira Kurosawa and Spike Lee 4 41 · 33 1.22 0.48 to 3.11
Akira Kurosawa and Emeric Pressburger 4 41 · 31 1.30 0.51 to 3.31
David Lynch and Jean-Luc Godard 4 41 · 30 1.35 0.52 to 3.42

Closest taste

Jaccard overlap between what two guests chose. Guests filmed together are left out: 32 pairs shared one list and would otherwise score a perfect 1.00 against each other.

Do two actors choose alike

Slightly, and it takes a permutation test to see it. Two visits by guests in the same trade share 0.0082 of their choices against 0.0062 for two guests in different trades, comparing only visits filmed in the same year. That difference survives 2,000 reshuffles of the trade labels within each year at a p-value of 0.0025. Both numbers are under one percent, so the honest sentence is that same-trade pairs are more alike than chance, not that they are alike.

Shared choices within a trade, against the same trade's own lists
Trade Visits Mean choices Shared within the trade
acts and directs 41 9.02 0.0067
acts, does not direct 114 8.12 0.0090
directs, does not act 109 8.14 0.0071

The sharper reading is the spread between those last three numbers: guests who act resemble each other more than guests who direct resemble each other. Jaccard also falls as lists grow, so the mean list length is printed beside it.

Table view
Year Same trade Different trades Difference Pairs
2023 0.0075 0.0077 -0.0002 271 · 359
2024 0.0072 0.0058 0.0014 723 · 1107
2025 0.0070 0.0060 0.0010 1072 · 1854
2026 0.0122 0.0068 0.0054 562 · 614

Solo visits only, since a trade is attributed only to a guest filmed alone, and only visits with at least 5 choices. Pairs are compared within a filming year and the 2000 draws reshuffle trade labels inside each year, because the trades arrived in the series at different times and a pooled comparison would also be a comparison of eras. Labels are permuted per visit and the whole statistic is recomputed each draw, which is what makes comparing 33,000 overlapping pairs legitimate. Both means are under one percent: this is a very small average difference, and within_group_jaccard is the more interesting number, since the trades differ from each other in how much they agree among themselves. Jaccard also falls as lists grow, so mean_items is published beside it. A year needs 30 pairs on each side to get its own row, and 11 years are too thin for one: the test itself uses every same-year pair regardless, since the permutation handles small strata correctly and a display floor should not change a p-value.

Got there first

Being first is partly being early: the 2010 and 2011 guests had an empty field. Read this as who the series followed, not as who has the best taste.

Obscure and obvious

Popularity is how many visits took the same thing, counted at the level of what was chosen. A box set is one choice, not its contents.

Came back

Overlap is the share of everything a guest has ever chosen that they chose on every visit. Counted at item level, so returning for the same box set counts as repeating one choice. The baseline block is what two unrelated visits share, which is the only thing that makes an overlap of zero readable: without it a reader cannot tell whether these ten people are unusual or whether nobody repeats anything.

Ari Aster

2 visits, 2 years apart

Nothing picked twice

Benny Safdie

2 visits, 9 years apart

Nothing picked twice

Bill Hader

2 visits, 13 years apart

Picked again: Salò, or The 120 Days of Sodom

Edgar Wright

2 visits, 12 years apart

Nothing picked twice

Ethan Hawke

2 visits, 7 years apart

Nothing picked twice

Ira Sachs

2 visits, 9 years apart

Nothing picked twice

Michael Cera

2 visits, 11 years apart

Nothing picked twice

Mike Leigh

2 visits, 10 years apart

Nothing picked twice

Yorgos Lanthimos

2 visits, 10 years apart

Nothing picked twice